Arguments against graduate tax in England ‘no longer hold’

Hepi president makes case for replacing loans with levy of between 4 and 6 per cent on lifelong earnings

Published on
November 12, 2026
Last updated
November 12, 2026
A HMRC letter head surrounded by British bank notes and coins
Source: iStock/marcyano

England should reconsider the benefits of replacing the current student loans system with a graduate tax of between 4 and 6 per cent on earnings, a new paper argues. 

Writing for the Higher Education Policy Institute, the thinktank’s president Bahram Bekhradnia argues that the current student loan system is dysfunctional and lacks transparency. 

Instead, he argues that the case for a graduate tax should be reopened, and that the arguments traditionally used to fight against such a model “no longer hold”. 

The paper says that the current system – whereby students take out large loans that are then repaid over a minimum of 30 to 40 years as a proportion of their salaries before being written off – “has evolved into something that increasingly resembles a graduate tax”, meaning “many of the traditional objections to a graduate tax have weakened”. 

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Traditionally, critics of a graduate tax have argued that it would not raise money for years before graduates begin paying it back, while universities need immediate funding. 

But the paper argues that more than 20 cohorts of loan-funded graduates have passed through the system since tuition fees were introduced in 1998 “and millions are already making income-contingent repayments” every month. 

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“The objection that once dominated the debate, that government would have to fund universities for years before receiving anything back, no longer describes the position with anything like its former force,” it says. 

It adds that a tax would remove the stigma currently associated with the high levels of graduate debt. Higher earners would also contribute more under a graduate tax, it says, which is not the case under the current system, where wealthier graduates are able to pay off their loans sooner without incurring high levels of interest, while some poorer graduates may pay back more than their initial debt because of the interest.

Introducing a tax that included those who might traditionally pay it off swiftly, and extending payments across a longer period, would also mean that the repayment terms could be lower, falling from 9 per cent of monthly earnings to between 4 per cent and 6 per cent.

It says: “There is therefore no compelling reason to limit payments to a stated period. The longer the payment periods, potentially extending across much of a graduate’s working life, the broader the potential tax base and the lower the annual payment rates.”

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But the paper acknowledges the “unfairness” that current graduates might feel around changes to their repayment system, and the prospect of their repayment periods being replaced with a lifelong tax, noting that retrospective changes to repayment thresholds have caused “serious controversy”. However, the paper argues, “none of this is a reason to abandon the idea”.

It stresses that the proposals are purely for tuition fees, rather than university maintenance loans, and suggests that the current system for repaying these loans could remain “untouched”. But it concedes that “care would need to be given to the total quantum of money being removed from people’s pay packets through a combination of the new graduate tax and the existing maintenance loan repayments”. 

Bekhradnia said that the introduction and evolution of the student loan system means “the machinery to collect a graduate tax already exists”.

“The present system has become a graduate tax in all but name – but a badly designed one, in which many of those who have benefited least pay the most, and many graduates see their debts grow year after year. A graduate tax would be simpler and more transparent, and those who benefit most would contribute most,” he said.

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“It is time to reconsider the argument in favour of a graduate tax on its merits, on the basis of where things stand today rather than where they stood 20 years ago.”

 juliette.rowsell@timeshighereducation.com

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Reader's comments (5)

What would happen in cases of those who study in the UK, but later may move abroad and pay into a different tax regime? A graduate tax cannot be legally or practically levied on income earned outside the country by someone who moves abroad surely? Would be an issue if the UK is to re-join the EU at some stage?
Is the government (SLC) actually able to collect income contingent loans from overseas now?
In theory, yes and anyone with outstanding payments can be refused entry to the UK etc. But £360 ml I believe is outstanding and unlikely to be repaid. But you would be replacing a system where outstanding loans are capable of being collected due to practicability, with one where it simply is not possible. The assumption with loans was always that about 40% would never be collected for various reasons. My understanding, though I might be wrong, is that it was issue of EU students that was the main argument against the GT and in favour of the loan arrangement at the time. Also not sure how the GT would work in the devolved system of HE.
new
From https://questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-questions/detail/2025-12-08/98199/, which references https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/student-loans-in-england-2024-to-2025: - In November 2025, 60.3% of borrowers residing overseas (EU and UK nationals) were compliant (i.e. repaying the loans on the terms the SLC sets, which account for currency and cost of living differences), and 39.7% non-compliant. The compliance rate for UK borrowers was 62.3%, and for EU borrowers 55.4%. - The Student Loans Company (SLC) recovers approximately £10 million per month from customers residing overseas (both UK and EU nationals) - Additionally, In the 2024/25 financial year, SLC’s repayments evasion unit recovered £7.7 million from non-compliant overseas borrowers. If the SLC is unable to recover outstanding debt directly from borrowers overseas, the account is referred to a Debt Collection Agency (DCA). Changing to a system that meant that ex-students residing overseas would not be required to pay could therefore lead to over a hundred million a year in effective losses compared to the current system, all other things being equal (though of course, they would not be). Additionally, it would further incentivise people to move overseas to avoid this tax (though the extent of the effect that this would cause would be debateable).
The current system is indeed unsustainable but a graduate tax is most unlikely to be politically unacceptable. The only way forward is incremental, as part of evolution towards a hybrid sector geared towards supporting lifelong learning paths with residential modules as opposed to a rite of passage from adolescence to adulthood. We are already seeing the boundary between full time degree and degree level apprenticeships becoming increasing blurred. UCAS data indicates a steadily increasing proportion of students commuting from home, albeit mature students no longer apply via UCAS. How could we "aid" that evolution? First it should be possible for employers to buy out debt as part of their recruitment package. Second we need major employers, including NHS and MoD, to offer repayable scholarships as an alternative to loans. Third we need to move towards a market in loans attached to courses and departments within federal Universities. Fourth Universities need to look at new student models and/or reviving old ones - e.g. the fellow commoners whose fees helped the Oxbridge transition from medieval houses to colleges after the dissolution of the monasteries and chanties.

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