Misplaced bets 1

三月 19, 2004

Stephen Unwin claims that God has a 67 per cent chance of existing (March 12). What makes me suspect that anybody presenting such an argument is 100 per cent likely to believe in God? Since there are a near infinite number of possible variations on the factors that one could include in such a calculation and the statistical significance that could be given to each one, it seems rather likely that any statistician who attempts such a task will prove whatever it is that he already believes.

After careful calculations, I would suggest that the scientific value of such an argument is something close to 0 per cent.

Thomas Larque
University of Kent

请先注册再继续

为何要注册?

  • 注册是免费的,而且十分便捷
  • 注册成功后,您每月可免费阅读3篇文章
  • 订阅我们的邮件
注册
Please 登录 or 注册 to read this article.